Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.095273 0.111947 0.130585 0.152951 0.179052 0.208543 0.244390
2025-12-07 0.070001 0.091308 0.117615 0.152441 0.197297 0.253101 0.327789
2025-12-14 0.054161 0.076468 0.106161 0.148489 0.207199 0.285690 0.398565
2025-12-21 0.044636 0.067269 0.099320 0.147867 0.219411 0.320840 0.475480
2025-12-28 0.039261 0.062602 0.097465 0.153109 0.239487 0.368261 0.574648
2026-01-04 0.035243 0.059106 0.096489 0.159006 0.260655 0.419115 0.684585
2026-01-11 0.031561 0.055442 0.094525 0.162737 0.278437 0.466289 0.793954
2026-01-18 0.027945 0.051262 0.091010 0.163195 0.290545 0.505266 0.894055
2026-01-25 0.024026 0.045924 0.084725 0.157899 0.291888 0.526001 0.965115
2026-02-01 0.020520 0.040791 0.078056 0.150899 0.289072 0.538789 1.023056
2026-02-08 0.018094 0.037326 0.073928 0.147934 0.293051 0.563770 1.105450
2026-02-15 0.015819 0.033818 0.069238 0.143216 0.292974 0.580971 1.174747
2026-02-22 0.014455 0.032092 0.068052 0.145781 0.308517 0.631663 1.319266
2026-03-01 0.012944 0.029848 0.065557 0.145438 0.318398 0.672997 1.451619
2026-03-08 0.011345 0.027152 0.061719 0.141684 0.320590 0.698969 1.555594
2026-03-15 0.010215 0.025330 0.059494 0.141093 0.329436 0.739720 1.695916
2026-03-22 0.009619 0.024664 0.059746 0.146100 0.351353 0.811062 1.912033
2026-03-29 0.009115 0.024140 0.060244 0.151733 0.375414 0.889947 2.154862
2026-04-05 0.008529 0.023315 0.059907 0.155297 0.395031 0.961022 2.388339
2026-04-12 0.007830 0.022083 0.058394 0.155735 0.407090 1.015880 2.589990
2026-04-19 0.006934 0.020180 0.054916 0.150676 0.404735 1.035966 2.709293
2026-04-26 0.006072 0.018227 0.051031 0.143990 0.397282 1.042595 2.795684
2026-05-03 0.005475 0.016930 0.048705 0.141158 0.399580 1.073929 2.949255